Thursday, June 22
2:00-2:50: Richard Bradley (LSE London): Earthquakes, Tsunamis and Hurricances: Making decisions with catastrophe models.
2:50-3:40: Andreas Lang (University of Salzburg): Climate impact on Earth surface systems — uncertainties unfolding
3:40-4:00: Break (20 minutes)
4:00-4:50: Robert Junker (University of Salzburg): Evidence and uncertainty in predicting plant responses to climate warning
4:50-5:40: Lena Zuchowski (University of Salzburg): Scaling Mountains: Modelling Multi-Scale Geological Processes with Scale-Specific Models
5:40-5:50: Break (10 minutes)
5:50-6:40: Nancy Cartwright (University of Durham & University of California): What’s wrong with pragmatic trials?
Official Conference Dinner at 7 p.m. at the K&K restaurant
Friday, June 23
9:00-9:50: Arne Bathke (University of Salzburg): How do you build a statistical model for real data – and draw valid conclusions?
9:50-10:40: Charlotte Werndl (University of Salzburg & LSE London): Initial Conditions Dependence and Initial Conditions Uncertainty in Climate Science
10:40-11:00: Break (20 minutes)
11:00-11:50: Andrea Fischer (IGF Innsbruck): Iconic glacier changes: The role of theory in creating evidence and phenology of climate change
11:50-12:40: Roman Frigg (LSE London): Expert Judgment for Climate Change Adaptation
Lunch at 1 p.m. at the Triangel restaurant